Statisticians who study coincidences are fond of saying that ordinary people don’t know how to estimate the probabilities of coincidences. To illustrate our poor statistical thinking, statisticians ...

We consider two methods of estimating phenotype probabilities for a number of standard genetic markers like the ABO, MNSs, and PGM markers. The first method is based on the maximum likelihood ...

Differential detectability is an issue of great practical importance in bat species (Order Chiroptera) surveys. Bat echolocation recorders increasingly are being used in survey efforts, but ...

Physicians tend to excel in science and math, so it's a bit surprising that, in a new study, nearly 8 in 10 ― 78% ― committed a gaffe called the conjunction fallacy. Researchers asked doctors to ...

One important feature of the brain is its ability to make generalizations based on sparse data. By learning regularities in our environment it can manage to guide our actions. As adults, we have ...

Humans are useless at assessing probabilities. But against the odds, Dylan Evans has tracked down the handful of people who rate as geniuses on the intelligence scale he calls risk quotient. Alison ...

The ‘spatial’ pattern of the correlation of pairwise relatedness among loci within a chromosome is an important aspect for an insight into genomic evolution in natural populations. In this article, a ...

Most of us have to estimate probabilities every day. Whether as a trader betting on the price of a stock, a lawyer gauging a witness's reliability or a doctor pondering the accuracy of a diagnosis, we ...

Statisticians who study coincidences are fond of saying that ordinary people don’t know how to estimate the probabilities of coincidences. To illustrate our poor statistical thinking, statisticians ...