Unless the red flags signaling a recession become more pronounced, it probably won’t be clear whether the United States is in a recession until July. A recession requires at least two quarters of ...

The disconnect between hard data (which capture measurable performance of the economy and are backward-looking) and soft data (which are typically based on sentiment and expectations and are often ...

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that real GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.3 percent in Q1 2025, the first negative reading since Q1 2022. The April 29 GDPNow nowcasts were well ...

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses ...

A robust GDP print, profit growth, and 2026 policy tailwinds show why the U.S. economy may stay resilient despite ...

Roughly a week ago (Friday, May 2), both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrials reached a milestone that has not occurred for more than 20 years. That milestone: nine consecutive sessions of higher ...

Economists are holding up recent data pointing to a contraction in the U.S. economy as evidence that concerns over a recession caused by President Donald Trump's tariffs may be beginning to ...

Bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi are wagering that the US will report negative economic growth during the first quarter of 2025. Bettors on prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are flipping ...

But six months into his second administration, after stock market turmoil and amid ongoing business uncertainty, Trump has an average net negative approval rating regarding the economy, 42% approve-57 ...

(The Center Square) – Though the economy and immigration were issues that helped President Donald Trump secure the White House, some economists have said that too steep a decline in immigration will ...